In Malcom Gladwell's book Outliers, he talks about how it takes 10,000 hours of consistent practice to be great. It doesn't matter if it's computer programming, hockey, playing an instrument or playing chess. It takes about 10,000 hours of practice to be superior in your field. To quote him, "Practice isn't the thing you do once you are good. It's the thing you do that makes you good."
Not many folks are willing, or perhaps able, to spend 10,000 hours doing anything. So if you can, your chances of being great are considerable.
Think about that!
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